The French boo Socialist François Hollande because of High Taxes and a Bad Economy

Posted by PITHOCRATES - November 16th, 2013

Week in Review

The Founding Fathers gave us a republic because they feared democracy.  Or mob rule.  In a republic you elect responsible people to represent you in government.  In a democracy it’s majority rule of the people.  Often when they are agitated or angered about something.  Which can trample on minority rights.  If the mob is angry over a group of immigrants working for a lower wage the mob can vote a ban on those immigrants.  Round them up.  And send them home.  Or imprison them.  This is the danger of a true democracy.  Anything the majority agrees on can become law.  Which is why the Founding Fathers gave us a republic.  And prayed that only wise men who shared their Enlightenment views would enter government.

Another danger of a true democracy is that once the people understand that they can vote themselves the treasury they will.  While responsible representatives won’t.  Until people start looking at government as a way to get rich.  And become professional politicians.  Instead of the part-time representatives the Founding Fathers envisioned.  Which transformed the republic into a democracy.  Only it’s our representatives that have descended into mob rule.  As professional politicians buy votes by giving the people generous government benefits that the state will soon be unable to afford.  Which is what is happening in France now (see French president booed at WWI ceremony posted 11/11/2013 on the Associated Press).

France’s unpopular president ignored jeers by protesters as he laid flowers at the tomb of the unknown soldier during a ceremony marking the end of World War I…

Shouts of “Hollande resign!” rang out and some demonstrators wore the red caps that have come to symbolize an anti-tax movement that has caused violent protests in Brittany in recent weeks…

Hollande’s popularity has sunk to record lows amid growing dissatisfaction over weak economic growth, high taxes and rising joblessness.

The French people voted the socialist into office because they wanted more free stuff.  Or wanted not to lose the free stuff they already had.  Courtesy of their social democracy.  Which promised cradle-to-the-grave government benefits.  But declining birthrates led to a falling population growth rate all over Europe.  Such that the number of people receiving those government benefits is growing while the number of people paying for those benefits is not.  French president Nicolas Sarkozy tried to be responsible.  While socialist presidential challenger François Hollande (the guy the French now hate) said the problem was that they weren’t taxing the rich enough.  And the other usual socialist claptrap.  Well, the socialist won.  He raised taxes.  The economy tanked as expected.  And now the French people hate him.

This is exactly what the Founding Fathers feared about democracy.  The French republic devolved into mob rule.  And tried to vote themselves the treasury.  Which leads to only higher taxes.  Or cut benefits as the state can no longer afford to pay for these benefits.  Which is where the French are now.  And the Americans will soon be.

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The Costs of European Socialism Bankrupting the EU?

Posted by PITHOCRATES - December 6th, 2010

European Socialism – Voting yourself the Treasury

The Left loves European Socialism.  They want it here.  They’ve been trying to get here.  All the while the Europeans are trying to move away from it there.

Socialism doesn’t work.  Once people learn they can vote themselves the treasury, they do.  It’s been the death knell of all democracies.  As those state benefits get bigger, they entice more people.  They say, “Work?  But why?”  Because many can live comfortably without working, many do.  And they sign up for those generous state benefits.

The problem is that there is no ‘secret stash’ of government money.  Everything they spend they take from us.  Those who work.  So taxes go up.  Working people get less.  And the government-dependent grows and becomes an important voting demographic.  And they vote.  They vote themselves the treasury.  And why not?  It’s not their money.  Not yet, at least.

The EU, the Euro and the ECB cannot Fix the Fundamental Flaw of Socialism

Eventually, the number of working people decrease.  And the number of those not working increase.  More and more people receive benefits.  And fewer and fewer people pay taxes to fund those benefits.  So they keep raising the taxes on those who work.  To pay those who don’t.  But they can only raise them so far.  Because people simply won’t work for free so their neighbor can live a better life.

And how is that European Socialism working?  Much like the people collecting those generous benefits.  It ain’t working either.  To compete against the economic power of the United States, they’re trying to become like the United States.  They created the European Union (EU).  A European Central Bank (ECB).  And a common currency (the Euro).  Because they thought bigger was better.  Because the United States is a big economic zone.

But the Europeans have a problem.  They’re still social democracies.  And the trends continued after the union and the Euro.  More people collecting benefits.  Fewer people paying taxes.  Some of these countries are going through debt crisis.  And as these countries implode in their financial crises, the affects are felt throughout the European Union (see Euro’s Worst to Come as Trichet Fails to Calm Crisis, Top Forecasters Say by Anchalee Worrachate posted 12/5/2010 on Bloomberg). 

The 16-nation currency’s [the Euro] first weekly gain against the dollar since Nov. 5 may prove short-lived amid mounting concern that more nations will need rescues. European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet delayed the end of emergency stimulus measures last week and stepped up government-debt purchases as “acute” market tensions drove yields on Spanish and Italian bonds to the highest levels relative to German bunds since the euro started in 1999.

“We’re going to get a continuation of the problems that Ireland, Portugal, Spain and others are suffering,” said Callum Henderson, Standard Chartered’s global head of foreign-exchange research in Singapore. “The fundamental issue is these are countries that have relatively large debts, large budget deficits, large current-account deficits, they don’t have their own currency and they can’t cut interest rates. The only way they can get out of this is to have significant recessions.”

Once upon a time Europe was ablaze in war. The growth of nationalism brought nations into conflict with each other over land, food and resources.  They redrew their borders in blood.  Nations did not give up their national sovereignty without a fight.  Which makes the European Union that much remarkable.  What they fought to the death to prevent they now give up voluntarily.  Of course, when your nation is on the brink of bankruptcy, what have you got to lose?  Having someone else bail you out of your financial mess?

Can the Euro and the ECB Survive European Socialism?

A weak currency helps a nation to export goods.  The more they export the more economic activity they have.  And the more jobs.  And the more people to tax.  So a weak currency can be a good thing.

But a weak currency also carries some baggage.  If a nation is ‘printing money’ to pay for excessive state benefits, that will not only make the currency weak, it will also increase prices; it’ll take more of those weak dollars (or Euros, or Pounds, or Yen, etc.) to buy things.  Even government benefits.  This is counterproductive.  People have less purchasing power.  And the government has to tax, borrow or print more because they, too, have less purchasing power.

The United States debased its currency.  Which helped the Euro gain some strength.

Just a month ago the euro reached $1.4282, the strongest level since January, as traders sold the dollar on speculation the Federal Reserve would debase the greenback by printing more cash to purchase $600 billion of Treasuries in so-called quantitative easing.

But the Euro wasn’t getting stronger.  The dollar was just getting weaker.  Both currencies are losing value.  And with more member nations in the EU getting weaker, the stronger ones may bail to save themselves.

Taylor [chairman of FX Concepts LLC, the world’s biggest currency hedge fund] predicted some nations may leave the common currency. Stronger members “have to say ‘enough, you guys, get out of the euro,’” he said. “The risk that Spain and Italy will get into trouble is going to cause the euro to get quite weak.”

Spain and Italy follows Ireland.  Which followed France.  Which followed Greece.  Nations are struggling under the weight of their debts.  Is there a limit to how much the ECB can help?

The ECB will keep offering banks as much cash as they want through the first quarter over periods of as long as three months at a fixed interest rate, Trichet said. That marks a shift from last month, when he said that the ECB could start limiting access to its funds.

Time will tell.  The trends are going the wrong way, though.  And there are more countries that can fail.  And they don’t have their own currencies.  So they need the ECB.  And the ECB needs to save them.  To save European Socialism.  Much like the Soviet Union tried to save Soviet communism.  Which, of course, they didn’t.

The problem with the Soviet Union was Soviet communism.  And the problem with the EC is European Socialism.  Great big governmental bureaucracies fail.  Always have.  And always will.

The Europeans know what they need to do, though.  And they are doing it.  Cutting their spending.  Despite the rioting and the burning of some of their cities.  Even with all of that, they are NOT increasing their spending.  Or trying to reduce their deficits by increasing taxes.

As the euro region’s most-indebted nations cut spending to bring their deficits under control, a weaker euro will be needed to cushion their economies, said Ian Stannard, a senior currency strategist in London at BNP Paribas SA, the fifth most accurate forecaster.

Of course, they want a weaker Euro for their exports.  So the EU can sell their export products cheaper than the domestic products of the import countries.  Which those import countries will not welcome with open arms.  Because they’re trying to grow their economies, too.  But that’s a whole other story (if you’re interested you can read about how international trade wars brought about the Great Depression).

It’s European

Meanwhile, on the other side of the pond, we’re having our own financial problems.  Large debts, large budget deficits, large current-account deficits.  Just like the Europeans.  Only difference is that the Obama administration is trying increase taxes and spending to fix our problems.  The Left calls this economic stimulus.  Rational people just call it stupid.

The political Left likes all things European.  In fact, they want to be European.  So I say let’s be European.  Let’s cut our spending like the Europeans.  I mean, if the Europeans don’t want to be like us (tax and spend), perhaps we should be like them (cut spending).  After all, if it’s European, even the Left should find it the fashionable thing to do.

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