FT119: “To save American jobs the Left tries to keep out low-priced Mexican imports but does little to keep out low-priced Mexican labor.” -Old Pithy

Posted by PITHOCRATES - May 25th, 2012

Fundamental Truth

The Left opposes Cheap Mexican Labor in Mexico but they like having it in the U.S.

One of the more interesting things about the political left is their inconsistency about their opposition to free trade.  They opposed the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) because they said all the good manufacturing jobs would go south of the border.  They said Mexicans work too cheap.  And that was unfair to the American worker.  For the American’s generous wage and benefit packages could never compete with the Mexicans who are willing to work for so much less.  With NAFTA rich American capitalists would just screw their American employees and move their operations to Mexico.  Where they would exploit the poor hapless Mexican workers.  Forcing them to work at a fraction of the American wage and benefit package.

Of course that’s not the way the poor hapless Mexican workers see it.  They loved those manufacturing jobs.  Because those jobs had some of the most generous wage and benefit packages available in Mexico.  They flooded those factories.  And the lucky few to get those jobs did quality work.  The things they made in these Mexican plants were as good as anything in the U.S.  And they cost less.  Allowing the American consumer to buy more.  Which raised the standard of living for everyone.  The American consumer.  And the Mexican consumer.  The only ones who lost were the few working in those U.S. plants that closed.  Who became bitter.  And demanded the government impose tariffs on those low-cost imports.  To save American jobs.  While lowering the standard of living for the American consumer.  And the Mexican consumer.

So the Left opposes this cheap Mexican labor.  In Mexico.  They don’t seem to mind it so much, on the other hand, when it’s in the U.S.  The Left opposes building a wall on the border.  They oppose asking for proof of citizenship from anyone who looks Mexican in a region with a high concentration of illegal aliens.  They oppose requiring a photo I.D. to vote.  They oppose deportations of illegal aliens who’ve been living and working in the U.S.  While they are in favor of blanket amnesty for those here illegally.  And providing them a fast-track to U.S. citizenship.  Which is rather odd considering the way the Left feels about that cheap Mexican labor.  So why are they opposed to imports manufactured by low-cost labor while they are in favor of bringing that low-cost labor into the United States.  For either way it will displace a higher-paid U.S. worker from a job.

The Lost Tax Revenue from Abortion and Birth Control comes to about $155 Billion per Year 

 Yes, that is a good question, isn’t it?  Some, I’m sure, will say once those illegals become legals they’ll join unions.  Which would make them no longer cheap labor.  Perhaps.  But with the decline in U.S manufacturing there aren’t a lot of union jobs anymore.  It is more likely that they will go to where there are good manufacturing jobs.  In the nonunion South.  So it is likely they would add further pressure on those high union wages and benefits.  So why, then, would the Left want to grant citizenship to those here illegally while at the same time opposing cheap Mexican labor?  Two reasons.  Abortions.  And birth control. 

As it is in most things in life it’s about the money.  The Left likes to tax and spend.  Well, not so much like but love.  It’s what they live for.  They want to spend money to provide pensions.  Health care in retirement.  And now health care before retirement.  They want to spend money to end poverty.  They want to spend money to give everyone a college education.  They want to spend money to subsidize green energy.  They want to spend money for school lunches, childcare, art, public television/radio, birth control, abortions, etc.  If it’s something they can spend money on they want to spend money on it.  Of course to spend all of this money you need what?  That’s right.  Money.  And two of the Left’s defining issues have actually reduced the available money to spend.  Birth control and abortion.

According to Public Agenda the number of abortions increased during the Seventies until they totaled approximately 1,300,000 by the end of the decade.  They stayed at or above this level for a little over a decade and then started falling in the late Nineties.  Let’s take one year of these numbers and crunch some numbers.  If 1.3 million abortions didn’t happen and the women carried these babies to term and they earned the median income of $46,000 (and paid $7,530 in federal income taxes) today that would have come to an additional $8.4 billion in tax revenue per year.

According to the Guttmacher Institute there were 62 million U.S. women in their childbearing years (15-44) in 2010.  Approximately 62% of these women were currently using birth control.  Bringing the number of women using birth control in 2010 to 38,440,000.  If birth control was unavailable let’s assume 50% of these women would have stopped having sex.  And let’s assume the women who continued to have sex became pregnant and carried their pregnancy to term.  Bringing in 19,220,000 new babies into the world.  Based on the median salary of $46,000 they would have contributed another $145 billion in tax revenue.  Added to the lost tax revenue from abortion that comes to a grand total of $155 billion in lost tax revenue per year.  Over a decade that comes to $1.5 trillion.

Granting Amnesty to Millions of Illegal Aliens can make up for Lost Tax Revenue due to Birth Control and Abortion 

During the Obamacare debates the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projected the cost of Obamacare over a 10-year period at $940 billion.  They have since revised that up to $1.76 trillion.  The opponents of Obamacare say it is too costly.  With a national debt of already $15.7 trillion we simply can’t afford to pay for Obamacare.  The proponents of Obamacare have been using questionable accounting practices to get that number down.  Such as collecting new taxes before paying any benefits in some of those years in that 10-year projection.  But the interesting thing to note here is that these discussions would be moot had it not been for birth control and abortion.  Which has cost the nation in tax revenue what Obamacare will cost.

These numbers are only crude calculations.  A more detailed mathematical analysis would have produced a far greater number in lost tax revenue.  Because the population would have also been expanding.  So the numbers used as constants in the 10-year projections above would have been growing larger in each year of that 10-year projection.  And producing larger amounts of tax revenue in each of those 10 years.  This is why Social Security worked so well for the first few decades.  There was a growing population.  And there was always far more new workers entering the workforce than leaving it.  What changed that was birth control and abortion.  And people choosing to have smaller families.  Not a bad thing in itself.  But this decision to have smaller families has doomed Social Security and Medicaid.  For they created those programs based on larger population growth rates.  That simply no longer exist.  And the only way to fix that is by having a lot more babies quickly.  Or for the baby boomers to die off quicker.  Which critics of Obamacare say Obamacare will help do via death panels.

Or you could try something else.  You can jumpstart the population growth rate by granting amnesty to millions of illegal aliens.  To make up for lost tax revenue due to birth control and abortion.  And what makes the illegals from Mexico so attractive to the Left is that many of them are devout Catholics.  Thanks to the Catholic Spanish Empire who brought their language, culture and religion to the New World.  And Catholics frown upon the use of abortion and birth control.  But this can be a risky bet for those on the Left.  Yes, they could really boost the population growth rate.  And they may get these new citizens’ votes in the early years out of gratitude.  But eventually the Left’s attacks on religion may eventually make these people vote Republican.  So they may get a large increase in tax revenue to spend.  Just as they lose power in Washington.



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Mercantilism, Royal Navy, Napoleon, Pax Britannica, Corn Laws, David Ricardo, Comparative Advantage, European Union and NAFTA

Posted by PITHOCRATES - May 22nd, 2012

History 101

Mercantilism gave Britain the Royal Navy which Ushered in the Pax Britannica

Great Britain had a rough go of it at the end of the 18th century.  They lost their American colonies in the American Revolutionary War.  A war that started over the issue of taxation to pay for the previous Seven Years’ War.  So instead of securing new revenue to pay down old debt they incurred new debt.  The French Revolution closed out the century.  Causing concern for some in Britain that their monarchy may be the next to fall.  It didn’t.  For the constitutional monarchy and representative government in Britain was a long cry from the absolute monarchy that they had in France.  So revolution did not come to Britain.  But war did.  As the French expanded their revolution into a European war.  Pulling the British back into war with their old enemy.

With a large conscripted French Army and the concept of total war France made total war.  Napoleon Bonaparte won a lot of battles.  Conquered much of Europe.  Even marched back and conquered Paris.  Proclaimed himself emperor of France.  And continued waging war.  Including an ill-conceived invasion of Russia.  Which marked the beginning of the end for Napoleon.  And the French Empire.  Weakened from war France saw her old nemesis, Great Britain, rise as the first superpower since the Roman Empire.  And like the Romans’ Pax Romana Britain entered a century of peace.  Pax Britannica.

The reason the British could do this was because of their mercantile past.  They set up colonies and international trade networks.  And they used the proceeds from that lucrative trade to finance the greatest naval power then in the world.  The Royal Navy.  And the Royal Navy would help keep the peace in the Pax Britannica.  She became the world’s policeman.  Making the world safe for trade.  Especially on the high seas.  But then something interesting happened.  She broke from her mercantile past.  Because they saw the shortcomings of mercantilism.  One of which produced wealthy landowners at the expense of a hungry population.

When the British repealed the Corn Laws in 1846 Food Prices fell and the Standard of Living Rose 

The British Corn Laws were a series of laws protecting those who grew cereal crops.  The stuff we grow that has edible grains.  Corn, rice, wheat, barley, etc.  What we call staple crops as they form the basic sustenance of humans everywhere.  We grow these in greater abundance than all other foods.  And when you look at the grain size you come to one realization.  It takes a lot of land to grow these crops.  And who owns large tracts of land?  The landowning aristocracy.  A small group of people with a lot of wealth.  And a lot of political influence.  Hence the Corn Laws. 

The Corn Laws were legislation with one goal.  To prevent the British people from buying less expensive food.  By either forbidding any importation of cheaper grains until the domestic price had reached a certain price level.  Or adding tariffs to the less expensive imports so the landowners could still sell their grains at higher prices.  Thus preserving their wealth.  And they made specious arguments about how lower-priced food was actually bad for the people.  For it was just a way for manufacturers to maximize their profits.  For if food was cheaper they could pay their workers less.  Being the greedy bastards that they were.  So the only fair thing to do was to keep food prices high.  To keep the living wage high.  To force manufacturers to pay their workers more.  You see, the only way to help the poor and middle class was to let the wealthy landowners become even wealthier.  By keeping the price of the food they sold high.

Opposition grew to the Corn Laws.  People studied the works of their fellow countrymen.  Adam Smith and David Hume (both Scottish).  And the Englishman David Ricardo.  All great economists and thinkers.  Who were all proponents of free trade.  Ricardo’s Comparative Advantage basically proved the case of free trade over the protectionism of mercantilism.  Eventually the political power of the landowners could not overcome the economic arguments.  Or a famine in Ireland.  And, in 1846, they repealed the Corn Laws and adopted free trade.  Food prices fell.  Leaving people with more disposable income.  To purchase the goods the Industrial Revolution was making.  Increasing their standard of living.  While small famers had to leave their farms being unable to farm efficiently enough to pay their bills at the prevailing prices.

The Success of NAFTA proves David Ricardo’s Comparative Advantage

Mercantilists and other opponents to free trade like to point at the human costs.  Small farmers losing their farm.  Just so they can preserve some semblance of privilege to protect the high prices in their industry.  But it was becoming more and more difficult to make the argument that the masses were better off paying higher prices.  Because they’re not.  Lower consumer prices increase the standard of living for everyone.  Higher living standards create healthier living conditions.  And reduces child mortality.   For the greatest killer of children in the world is poverty.

The British were both a military and an economic superpower during the 19th century.  But someone was chasing her.  The Untied States.  Who was feeling her economic oats.  Her economy would catch up and surpass the British.  Making it the mightiest economic power of all time.  How did this happen?  Two words.  Free trade.  The United States was the largest free trade zone in the world.  The economic advantages of all those states trading with each other freely across their state borders made Europe stand up and take notice.  And in response created treaties that ultimately led to the European Union and the Eurozone.  To replicate the large free trade zone of the United States.

Back across the Atlantic the Americans, Canadians and the Mexicans took it up a notch.  And created the North American Free Trade Agreement.  NAFTA.  Extending the free trade that existed in each of their countries across their international borders.  The mercantilist fought against this.  Because protectionism, restrictions and tariffs helped the privileged few protect the high prices in their industry.  In America they talked about a great sucking sound as all American jobs went to low-wage Mexico.  Some manufacturers did move to Mexico.  Primarily because like the small farmers in Britain after the repeal of the Corn Laws they could no longer sell at prices to meet all of their costs.  But it was not as the mercantilists predicted.  Yes, imports increased.  In 2010 they were up 235% from pre-NAFTA 1993.  But exports were up, too.  Some 190% for the same period.  Proving Ricardo’s Comparative Advantage.  By focusing on what we do best and trading for everything else all countries do better.



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