Flying is so Safe already that to make it any Safer is nearly Statistically Impossible
Air travel is the safest way to travel. People are far more likely to die on the way to the airport than in an airplane. Air plane accidents and incidents are so rare these days that when one happens it is huge news. For weeks some networks devoted near 24/7 coverage of missing Malaysian Airlines Flight 370. Even though they had nothing to report. But that didn’t stop them from going to air to speculate about what happened. Because an airplane just disappearing like that is extremely rare.
The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) investigates aircraft accidents and incidents to determine the cause. And to come up with new ways to make aviation safer. But improving safety any more is getting difficult. And costly. They put a cost on the loss of life and compare that to the cost for the airlines (and the people who buy their tickets) to implement a proposed change. And then judge the likelihood that spending that money will actually save any lives. They could reduce the number of deaths from flying to zero simply by grounding all aircraft permanently. But the flying public wants to fly. And is apparently willing to fly even if there is a slim chance of dying.
When a plane crashes because of an event that is statistically likely to happen, say, one in 100 million flights it’s hard to justify the added expense. As that cost will not make flying any safer statistically. This is the problem with making flying safer today. It is so safe already that to make it any safer is nearly statistically impossible. And spending more resources to try and make it safe 100% of the time is just not possible. And it’s just too costly to try.
Racism is so Trivial in the Aggregate that it could not prevent a Black Child from growing up to be President
There are a lot of people on the left who say we need a dialogue on race. Because there is still racism in this country. Not Southern Democrat Jim Crowe racism. But systemic racism that stacks the deck against blacks. Despite that ‘racist’ America having elected a black president. Twice. Who appointed a black man as attorney general. Eric Holder. America’s top cop. This couldn’t have happened without a majority of white voters voting for President Obama. As blacks make up only approximately 13.1% of the population while whites make up approximately 77.9% (see United States Census QuickFacts).
So there may be some racism in America. But clearly not a lot of it. For if there was a lot of it there would have been enough people to vote against President Obama. But there wasn’t. And he won reelection. Even though his record wasn’t that good. On the economy. Or on national security. So there would have been a lot of reasons to vote against him. Especially if the American people were racist. But this didn’t happen. Suggesting that America is not as racist as those on the left would have you believe.
Sure, there is racism in America. As there is everywhere. And always will be. But is it systemic? Is it impossible for a black child to grow up to be the president of the United States? To be the top cop in the land? No. Because these things have happened. So is it necessary to focus the Justice Department only on racial injustice in the United States? Even those on the left will concede that things are a lot better now than they ever were. So should the Justice Department focus on removing the last vestiges of racism when if doing so will be very difficult if not impossible? As some people simply cannot be reasoned with? If these people were running the country perhaps it would be. But they’re not. These instances of racism are isolated incidents. So trivial in the aggregate that they could not prevent a black child growing up to be president.
Despite all of their Efforts to End Racism they haven’t reduced the Need to End Racism
A lot of people voted for President Obama to end racism once and for all. To move away from our racist past. But it seems like the left finds more racism than ever since President Obama’s election. In fact, they call any criticism of President Obama an act of racism. Making it difficult to criticize the president. As no one wants to be labeled a racist. In fact the left uses this to try and shut down debate over policy issues. Unable to defeat conservatives in the arena of ideas (as conservatives outnumber liberals 2-1) they are quick to try and shut down debate with charges of racism.
Even Attorney General Eric Holder responded angrily when testifying in Congress. Later when speaking to a mostly black audience he asked was there ever an attorney general or a president treated as poorly as he and President Obama? (Yes, there were. Especially when they were Republican). Implying that the people’s representatives, and, therefore, the people, were racist. So he can stand morally indignant as he stood in contempt of Congress. The victim. A lot in the media have come to his support. While few criticized him. Because no one wants to be called a racist. And because no one does it is a very powerful way to shift attention away from any wrongdoing by shifting the attention to those accusing you of said wrongdoing. A tactic right from the far-left strategist Saul Alinsky’s playbook (see Corrupt AG’s Feigned Outrage Shouldn’t Be Distraction posted 4/10/2014 on Investors.com).
The NTSB is trying to remove the last vestiges of air travel deaths. Which is more and more difficult to do these days as there are so few ways left to improve aviation safety. There are a lot of people trying to end racism. But if you listen to them the problem of racism has never been worse. Despite the success of President Obama and Attorney General Eric Holder. Who actually benefit from this perceived racism. As they can discount any criticism of them because they’re black. And the American people are racist. Despite these same American people being responsible for their success. For a country with a 77.9% white population could have been racist enough to prevent the election of a black president. And they were given two opportunities to show just how racist they are. But didn’t. Still, the charge of racism is a powerful weapon in their arsenal. Which is why despite all of their efforts to end racism they haven’t reduced the need to end racism. For if they did that they may just have to answer for their policies.
Tags: attorney general, black, black president, Congress, conservatives, criticism, debate, end racism, Eric Holder, liberals, President Obama, racism, racist, shut down debate, systemic racism, top cop, white
Week in Review
The Democrat’s most sacred issue is abortion. Any attempts to restrict abortion and the left immediately starts bleating that the Republicans have a war on women. As if the only thing women care about is having an abortion. But could there be another reason behind their defense of abortion rights? Perhaps.
New York City (NYC) requires that all abortions are reported. They just released a report summarizing abortions in 2012 (see SUMMARY OF VITAL STATISTICS 2012 THE CITY OF NEW YORK PREGNANCY OUTCOMES released in February 2014).
All pregnancy outcomes, whether a live birth or a spontaneous or induced termination of pregnancy, are required by law to be reported to the Department of Health and Mental Hygiene. This report compiles the information reported about these events to monitor the health of women and their infants in New York City. For additional tables, technical notes and samples of NYC certificates of birth, please see the Bureau of Vital Statistics website at www.nyc.gov/vitalstats.
In Table 1. Pregnancy Outcomes, Pregnancy Outcome Rates*, and Pregnancy Rates* by Mother’s Age Group, Racial/Ethnic Group, and Borough of Residence, New York City, 2012 we see the information summarized here.
According to the U.S. census the demographic breakouts are approximately non-Hispanic white (63%), Hispanic (16.9%), non-Hispanic black (13.1%) and Asian and Pacific Islander (5.3%). Which agrees with the order of the percentage of live births in the table above. But things are different on the abortion side. Where non-Hispanic blacks top the list of abortions. With Hispanics a close second. While non-Hispanic whites only come in third. Despite their making up the largest percentage of the population.
If you look at the ratio of live births to abortions we see some startling statistics. For every Asian and Pacific Islander abortion there were 4.71 live births. For every non-Hispanic white abortion there were 4.03 live births. But for every Hispanic abortion there were only 1.60 live births. While for every non-Hispanic black abortion there were only 0.79 live births. Or for every 10 abortions there were approximately 8 live births. Meaning that more non-Hispanic black women are having abortions than having a live birth.
So what does this tell us about abortions? That non-Hispanic blacks are more likely to have an abortion than any other group in NYC. With Hispanics a close second. Interesting. For Hispanics and non-Hispanic blacks typically vote Democrat. As the Democrats constantly tell them that Republicans hate them. Even though Republicans oppose abortion. So if Republicans had their way there would be more black and Hispanics babies being born. Which would suggest that it’s not the Republicans that don’t like blacks and Hispanics. But the Democrats. Because keeping abortion legal is making NYC whiter.
For the sake of argument let’s change the title from ‘Abortions” to ‘Infant Mortality’ in the table above. What do you think people would be saying then? Probably not what they’re saying now about these abortion numbers. Which is nothing.
Tags: abortion, Asian and Pacific Islander, black, Democrat, Hispanic, live birth, New York City, non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, NYC, Republican, white
Week in Review
The left keeps saying we need to have a discussion on race in this country. By that they mean they don’t want to have a discussion on race. They just want to keep saying this as they turn any incident into a racial incident. Thus keeping the races apart, not together. Why? Because if there is racism in this country then there is a need for them to end racism in this country. Which they do with a bloated and growing government bureaucracy at every level (city, county, state and federal). And how has that worked for black Americans? Not well (see Latest ACT test results reveal huge race gap as only 1 in 20 African Americans students ‘fully ready’ for college by ASSOCIATED PRESS posted 8/21/2013 on the New York Post).
Just a quarter of this year’s high school graduates who took the ACT tests have the reading, math, English and science skills they need to succeed in college or a career, according to data the testing company released Wednesday.
The numbers are even worse for black high school graduates: Only 5 percent are fully ready for life after high school…
When the testing agency broke down the results by race, fault lines emerged. Just 5 percent of black students are ready for college work in all four areas. Among American Indians, 10 percent are ready in all subjects, while 14 percent of Hispanics are ready. Pacific Islanders post a 19 percent readiness rate for all four subjects. White students have a 33 percent rate, and 43 percent of Asian-American students are ready for studies in all four subjects.
No surprise, really. For the government helps no group of people more than impoverished black Americans. And after over 40 years of trying life has gotten worse for them. Not better. And the data bear this out.
The key to wealth and prosperity is a college education. Doctors and engineers can become wealthy and prosperous. But to get to college you have to do well in high school. If you look at data from the past few years (see High School Graduation Rates, Out-of-Wedlock Births and Median Family Income posted 7/25/2013 on Pithocrates) you see a similar trend in high school graduation rates as you see in ACT test results. Asians graduated high school 93% of the time. Whites graduated 83% of the time. While blacks only graduated 66.1% of the time. Is it because Asians are genetically smarter than whites and blacks? No. It’s because of the Asian family.
Asians have the lowest out-of-wedlock births at 11.3%. While whites come in at 29.2%. And blacks come in at 67.8%. Children that have a mother and a father do better in school. Because they have more parental supervision at home. Twice as much as a single-parent household. Two-parent households are pushing their children to do their homework. To do well in school. So they can score high on the ACTs (and SATs). So they can go on to college.
A lot of single mothers are heroes. Sacrificing so much in their life for their children. But it’s hard. Much harder than a two-parent household. Where you can have a full-time income earner. And a full-time stay-at-home parent. Where two are sacrificing for their children. Instead of one. While providing a powerful male role model. Which is why more Asians are graduating and going on to college than whites and blacks. Especially blacks. Which is probably the discussion we should be having. What destroyed the black family? Who took the father out of the black household? Something facilitated that. And it wasn’t racism. Was it the coarsening of society? A bloated welfare state? A nonjudgmental attitude? Finding racism even where it doesn’t exist? All of the above? Perhaps. For it was something. It just didn’t happen.
When there was horrible segregation blacks fought and suffered to go to college. Today 95% of black high school kids just don’t care. So what’s different between then and now? The disintegration of the black family. And LBJ’s Great Society. Which tried to do good. But only ended up destroying the black family. By replacing black fathers with Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC). And placing single-mothers into housing projects. Where groups of fatherless children joined together in gangs. Got into trouble. And took that trouble into their schools. This is how it started. With government. And now the Democrats exasperate it. Why? Because it gives them the opportunity to be the party trying to end racism. Giving them the black vote. Which is all they want. And they just don’t care about the lives they destroy in the process.
Tags: ACT tests, Asian, black, black family, children, college, discussion on race, family, high school, homework, parent, racism, single-parent household, two-parent household, white
Teens who listen to Gansta Rap want People to think that they are Badass Gangbangers
Everybody is in agreement that George Zimmerman was not a racist. That his trial for the shooting and killing of Trayvon Martin was fair. But few like the verdict. And blame the verdict on systemic racism in the United States. Demanding a dialog on race. With even the president finally weighing in. Saying young black men grow up in a world where they are stigmatized by everyday traumatic events. Like hearing people locking their car doors when they approach. And women clutching their purses and holding their breath whenever a black teen or young man enters an elevator.
Stigmatized? Traumatized? Doubtful. These are the same teens who listen to gangsta rap. Who want people to think that they are badass gangbangers. Who wear their pants low around their buttocks. Sagging. Like their hip hop heroes wear. And prisoners. (The penal system issues clothing a size or two too large. And doesn’t let prisoners have belts. To prevent suicides. Or using them as a garrote. So prisoners’ pants sag.) Who they view as some of the baddest of badasses. And they like to wear hoodies. Because a lot of people fear people wearing hoodies. As a lot of people who rob stores and banks wear hoodies. (Because hoodies help conceal the face and make identification more difficult.)
So it is unlikely that these teens and young men are stigmatized. People reacting in fear is probably the reaction they’re going for. For it’s all about manliness. Teens and young men, whatever race, want to look manly. And tough. That’s why a lot of them get into fights. And why any personal slight is taken as a dis of the highest order. For it threatens their manliness. Because a person only dares dis someone they are not afraid of. Someone they feel they can fight and win. That is, someone whose manliness they do not respect.
The Political Left has long demonized White America as Racist
The president wants a dialog on race. To bring the races together. But who exactly is pushing them apart? When the political left keeps saying America is a racist country and that a young black man’s life isn’t worth as much as a young white man’s life is that bringing the races together? Or pushing them apart?
What does it do to a young black person growing up hearing this? Does it make him or her like white people more? Or less? Does it make them want to assimilate into the American culture? Or, because they perceive that culture as white, do they want to be part of their own culture? To differentiate themselves from that ‘racist’ white culture? It would appear they do. For they even have changed who they are. To further separate them from white America. Where whites are Americans. But blacks are African-Americans. Even if they were born in America.
So it’s not white America driving the races apart. It’s the political left who has demonized white America as racist. And it’s African-Americans who grow up learning that America is racist. Who grow angry and a little racist themselves. I mean, who wouldn’t? If we teach them that in the schools, if they see it on television and hear it in the music how are they not going to grow up hating white people at least a little? And magnify any instance of racism into proof of that racist society they’ve learned about all their lives?
Affirmative Action probably creates a little Racism
The president said he experienced the trauma of people fearing him when he was a young black man. Acknowledging that he knows how racist this country is. This country that elected him, a black man, president. Twice. Did a racist country do this out of white guilt? Or was it just affirmative action that got him to the White House? Or was it his positive message of bringing the country together? This country that has never been so divided on race?
The racial problems we have in this country appear to have less to do with racism. And more to do with politics. When affirmative action (actions taken based on race) lets less qualified blacks into college over more qualified whites that isn’t racism. But complaining about it is. When you can fire whites in the workplace easier than you can fire blacks that isn’t racism. But complaining about it is. Affirmative action is supposed to correct past wrongs. By punishing people who were not responsible for those past wrongs. Which probably creates a little racism. Not against black people per se. But against a system using racist policies (affirmative action) to give some people an unfair advantage. That is, using racism to redress racism.
America is not a racist country. Yes, there are racists in the country. But they are the exception. Not the rule. For President Obama could not have won election twice without white people voting for him. But racism exists. In large part because of the political left. Who teaches black kids that white people are racist. And finding racism where it doesn’t exist. So blacks learn at an early age to shun white America. Even calling themselves African-Americans. To further widen the racial divide. And black teens and young black men wear their pants low. They wear hoodies. To look like badass gangstas. And when they frighten white women in an elevator it’s the white women who have a problem. Because they are frightened by badass gangstas. For these white women, too, have heard what a racist country we live in. And may fear these badass gangstas may want to redress that racism. So they lock their car doors. And clutch their purses.
Tags: affirmative action, African-Americans, America is a racist country, America is racist, badass gangbangers, badasses, black, black men, black teen, black teens, bring the races together, dialog on race, finding racism where it doesn't exist, gangsta, gangsta rap, hoodies, manliness, political left, race, racism, racist, white, white America, young black men
The Media labeled George Zimmerman a ‘White’ Hispanic to create a Racial Component where there was None
On February 26, 2012, 28-year old ‘white’ Hispanic George Zimmerman shot and killed 17-year old black Trayvon Martin in Sanford in central Florida. Zimmerman said it was self-defense. Others are saying he stalked Martin because he was black. It was the news media that called Zimmerman a ‘white’ Hispanic. To make this a black-white racial issue. Some cable channels are carrying the trial of George Zimmerman live. Because they have made it a big story. The trial is about over. And they will soon turn it over to the jury. Six women. To decide Zimmerman’s fate. While the city prepares for ‘Rodney King’ like rioting should the jury acquit Zimmerman.
On April 14th, 2012, a mob of 30 or more black youths brutally attack two white journalists from The Virginian-Pilot. Which appeared to be more of a black-white racial issue than George Zimmerman. A member of the neighborhood watch following a stranger in the neighborhood (Martin was living there temporarily). Whereas the journalists from The Virginian-Pilot were sitting at a red light when someone threw a rock at their car. Presumably because they were white. When the male journalist got out of the car a black mob descended on him. Making it look like an assault based solely on race. Yet few reported this assault. Even the journalists’ own paper. Those who reluctantly reported on it played down the racial component.
So why is the apparently less racially motivated assault (the Zimmerman shooting of Martin) treated more like a racial hate crime while the apparently more racially motivated assault (the journalists from The Virginian-Pilot) is treated less like a racially motivated hate crime? Why did the media label George Zimmerman a ‘white’ Hispanic? Making a racial component where there was none? While ignoring a racial component where there is one? Well, because some believe that white-on-black crime is still a big problem in this country. So much so that we can ignore instances of black-on-white crime. To right past wrongs. And end lingering racism in this country.
In 2011 the Majority of Homicide Victims AND Homicide Offenders were Black
Alright, what does the data say? Is there still lingering racism in this country? This nation that elected a black president? Twice? Are there still past wrongs to right? Well, let’s begin with some homicide statistics. Pulled from the CDC (see Table 34 (page 2 of 4). Death rates for homicide, by sex, race, Hispanic origin, and age: United States, selected years 1950–2010). Pulling the number of deaths for white and black males per 100,000 resident population we see that, in fact, blacks suffer a far higher homicide rate.
So maybe there is something to say about lingering racism. And past wrongs to right. Until you dig a little deeper into the data, that is. According to the FBI (see Expanded Homicide Data Table 3) there were 14,548 homicides in 2011. Now, one would expect if there is lingering racism in this country that the higher number of black victims of homicide would correspond to a high number of white murderers. But according to the FBI that’s not the case. If you add up the number of black and white murderers in 2011 it totals 10,215. Approximately 70% of all homicides. So the lion’s share of homicides are committed by blacks and whites. But whites were only responsible for 46.3% of those homicides. While blacks were responsible for 53.7% of them.
So blacks committed the majority of homicides in 2011. To put that into perspective you have to consider what percentage of the population is black. Approximately 13%. So you have about 13% of all Americans committing more than half of all homicides. Which means the high homicide rate of blacks is not due to whites. It’s due to blacks. Suggesting that we don’t have lingering racism in the country. Like the media is trying to say with the Zimmerman-Martin trial. What we really have is a serious black-on-black crime problem.
A High Profile Case like the Zimmerman Trial can do Wonders to Create Actual Racism
While the Zimmerman trial is receiving full media coverage the brutal attack of The Virginian-Pilot journalists disappears into obscurity. Because the racial component is wrong. Just as it is wrong for the high homicide rates in Chicago. So the media doesn’t cover it. Unlike the Zimmerman trial.
In the first 6 months of this year there were 259 homicides in Chicago. And 201 (77.6%) of these homicide victims were black. While they only make up 33% of the population of the city. In fact, not only were the majority of homicide victims black. According to the Chicago Tribune (see Homicide numbers reveal stark contrast) the majority of murderers were black, too. Which is why the media isn’t interested in the epidemic of crime in Chicago. Especially the gun crime in Chicago. Because the racial component is wrong.
So why is the media obsessed with white-on-black crime but ignores black-on-white and black-on-black crime? Because white-on-black crime is politically useful. Over 90% of blacks voted for President Obama. As Democrats get the black vote. Because of this perception of lingering racism. And the perception that white Republicans are racists. A high profile case like the Zimmerman trial can do wonders to create actual racism. To drive a wedge between the races. And further paint whites like the ‘white’ Hispanic George Zimmerman as racists. Which resonates not only with blacks. But with young people. Those first-time voters. And those college kids. Who believe the United States is a racist country. And vote Democrat to end that racism. Which they believe they will do if they keep Republicans out of office. And reporting on the epidemic of black-on-black crime in Chicago or blacks assaulting white journalists in Virginia do nothing to advance that political agenda.
Tags: black, black-on-black crime, black-on-white crime, black-white racial issue, Chicago, Democrat, George Zimmerman, hate crime, Hispanic, homicides, lingering racism, Martin, past wrongs to right, racial component, racial issue, racially motivated, racism, racists, Republicans, The Virginian-Pilot, white, white Hispanic, white journalists, white-on-black crime, Zimmerman, Zimmerman trial