Thanks to Advances in Medical Care People are Living long enough to Bankrupt Social Security and Medicare

Posted by PITHOCRATES - December 16th, 2012

Week in Review

People talk a lot about an aging population.  The cost impact on Social Security.  Medicare.  And pensions.  Something the actuaries are experts at doing.  Calculating costs.  The only problem for Social Security, Medicare and pensions is that when the experts calculated these costs medical care wasn’t as good as it is today.  And people were dying a lot earlier than they are today.  And this is the cost impact of an aging population.  People that are NOT dying as early as the actuaries originally calculated (see A sick world: We live longer, with more pain and illness by Kate Kelland posted 12/13/2012 on Reuters).

The world has made huge progress fighting killer infectious diseases, but as a result we now lead longer and sicker lives, with health problems that cause us years of pain, disability and mental distress…

The Global Burden of Disease study, led by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at Washington University, finds that countries face a wave of financial and social costs from rising numbers of people living with disease and injury.

Social Security, Medicare and pensions are going broke because people stopped having babies during the Sixties and Seventies like they used to have before then.  As birth control and abortion came into vogue.  This became a big problem because it followed the baby boom.  The rate of older sicker people leaving the workforce who no longer paid income taxes grew at a greater rate than younger healthier people entering the workforce who paid income taxes.  And the older people are living longer.  So long that they can get sicker and become more costly to care for.  All because they’re living 10-20 years longer than the actuaries originally calculated.  Thanks to advances in medical care.

Things will get worse before they get better until the last of the baby boomers die.  And these two growth rates approach each other.  And pass.  Going from an aging population to one that grows younger.  So the number of taxpayers once again grows at a greater rate than tax consumers.  Which Obamacare will help speed along with their quasi death panels.

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