Wall Street Cheers a Dismal Jobs Report

Posted by PITHOCRATES - May 5th, 2013

Week in Review

The markets reacted positively to the new jobs report.  The unemployment rate changed little.  But what really got them excited was that the economy created 165,000 new jobs.  More than last month.  But not really good.  But you wouldn’t know that from reading the report (see Employment Situation Summary posted 5/3/2013 on Bureau of Labor Statistics).

The unemployment rate, at 7.5 percent, changed little in April but has declined by 0.4 percentage point since January. The number of unemployed persons, at 11.7 million, was also little changed over the month; however, unemployment has decreased by 673,000 since January. (See table A-1.)…

The civilian labor force participation rate was 63.3 percent in April, unchanged over the month but down from 63.6 percent in January. The employment-population ratio, 58.6 percent, was about unchanged over the month and has shown little movement, on net, over the past year.(See table A-1.)

When you read this it sounds good.  But it’s not.  The labor force participation rate holding at 63.3% is horrible.  It wasn’t this bad since the Seventies.  That’s a lot of people who have just disappeared from the labor force.  Who just gave up trying to find a job.  Because they just aren’t out there.  And because they’ve disappeared the government doesn’t count them anymore.  Which is the only reason why the unemployment rate has fallen during the Obama presidency.

When President Obama entered office the labor force participation rate was at 65.8%.  Which means it has fallen 3.8% in little over four years.  This is a huge fall.  The steepest decline ever.  And the fact that it is holding at 63.3% means there are a lot of people out of work that have to reenter the workforce.  Also, the current number is the lowest it has been since President Obama entered office.  Which means we haven’t even begun the economic recovery yet.   So these jobs numbers couldn’t be worse.  Yet Wall Street celebrates.  Why?  Probably because they’re suffering from irrational exuberance.

www.PITHOCRATES.com

Share

Tags: , , , , ,

Comments are closed.

Blog Home